Skip to main content
Demo — synthetic data. All figures are illustrative only. No real client data is shown.
AstraHead Concierge

Twelve weeks, six channels, 84 rows of AU media data, cleanly structured and ready to work from. Collector pulled the panel; Alchemist ran twenty rules and flagged fourteen percent of programmatic rows for missing impressions, worth naming up front. The finding that matters most: Meta and TikTok double-counted roughly 890 conversions across weeks 5 to 7, around $67,000 sitting in the wrong column. Priors started you warm from Binet and Field DTC-retail benchmarks while your peer cell fills. Clearest next move is a server-side dedup on the first-party purchase event. I'll keep an eye on social frequency creep in weeks 8 to 12; ping me if you want Mix looped in for the quarterly refresh.

Astra Head Concierge, Acera Labs

Headline finding

Your YouTube budget is doing the job of three channels at once, and your reporting system does not know it yet.

82% · warning

8 findings

YouTube is coded as brand, but its conversion curve looks like direct response

82% · warning

Your YouTube line item sits in the brand budget, but its week-on-week conversion pattern tracks your paid search performance with a two-day lag. This matters because brand and DR channels carry different saturation curves. Applying brand decay rates to a DR-behaving channel will cause your budget optimiser to undervalue YouTube by roughly 20 to 35 percent.

Recommended actionReclassify YouTube under a DR sub-type in your taxonomy, then re-run the budget optimiser with the corrected channel metadata. The Alchemist rulebook update takes under 10 minutes.

Podcast sponsorship spend has not varied in 12 weeks

79% · warning

Your podcast sponsorship line shows identical spend in every single week of the panel: $8,750 AUD, no variation. This is almost certainly a fixed-fee placement recorded as a weekly figure rather than a variable buy. That is fine operationally, but a zero-variance channel produces no signal for the marketing mix model. Including it as-is will inflate your model's R-squared without improving predictive accuracy.

Recommended actionConfirm with your media team whether this is a fixed-fee placement. If yes, flag it as a fixed cost in the channel taxonomy so the MMM model treats it as a baseline offset rather than a variable input.

Meta and TikTok are double-counting conversions in weeks 5 to 7

91% · critical

Between 28 October and 11 November, your Meta and TikTok platforms both claimed the same conversion events via last-touch attribution. The overlap accounts for an estimated 890 duplicate conversions across those three weeks, representing roughly $67,000 in misattributed revenue. Your actual CPA for both channels during this period is higher than your dashboards show.

Recommended actionImplement a server-side deduplication layer using your first-party purchase event. Until then, use the Auditor's adjusted conversion figures (available in the evidence export) rather than platform-reported numbers for these three weeks.

Data quality flag rate is elevated in programmatic

73% · warning

The Alchemist flagged 14 percent of programmatic rows for missing impression data across weeks 2, 6, and 9. This is above the 10 percent threshold where spend-per-impression ratios become unreliable. The affected rows are still usable for spend analysis, but impression-based CPM calculations for those weeks should be treated as estimates.

Recommended actionRequest an impression data pull from your DSP for weeks 2, 6, and 9. Most DSPs retain this data for 90 days. If unavailable, the Auditor can apply an industry-benchmark CPM for your vertical to fill the gap.

Third-party enrichment data is not yet connected

55% · info

The Auditor attempted to cross-reference your spend panel against category-level search trend data and competitor spend indices, but no third-party data source is connected to your workspace. Connecting one source would allow the MMM to separate your brand's organic contribution from paid lift, which typically improves model accuracy by 15 to 25 percent.

Recommended actionConnect a search trend feed (Google Trends API or a paid provider) in the Data Connector settings. The Acera team can assist with this during your next working session.

80 percent of paid search budget is on branded keywords

78% · warning

Your paid search panel shows 80 percent of spend on branded terms (brand name + product name variants) and 20 percent on non-branded. Branded keywords capture demand you largely already own. At this ratio, the measured ROAS of 6.8x is significantly inflated by organic demand that would have converted without paid assistance. Your true incremental ROAS on paid search is likely 2.5 to 3.5x.

Recommended actionShift 20 to 30 percent of branded search budget toward non-branded prospecting terms and run a holdout in two geographies for 4 weeks to measure incremental lift. The budget optimiser cannot do this correctly until the spend mix is rebalanced.

Paid social frequency is above 4.5 impressions per person per week in weeks 8 to 12

71% · warning

The Meta and TikTok panels show average frequency climbing from 2.8 in weeks 1 to 7 to 4.7 in weeks 8 to 12. CTR fell 31 percent across the same period while spend held flat. This pattern is consistent with creative fatigue. You are paying for impressions that are actively degrading brand perception rather than driving consideration.

Recommended actionIntroduce a frequency cap of 3 impressions per person per week across Meta and TikTok combined. Rotate creative every 3 weeks. Re-examine your audience exclusion lists to reduce overlap between the two platforms.

No incrementality test data detected — paid lift cannot be separated from organic demand

48% · info

There are no geo holdout, conversion lift, or matched market test results in this workspace. Without incrementality data, the marketing mix model must attribute all sales correlation to paid spend, which overstates the contribution of channels with high organic co-occurrence, particularly branded search and podcast sponsorship. This is not unusual at your stage of measurement maturity. It is worth planning one test before the next budget cycle.

Recommended actionDesign a geo holdout test for your top two markets, running for 4 to 6 weeks. Turn off paid search in one market and measure organic conversion rate. This single test would improve model accuracy by an estimated 15 to 25 percent.

Share these findings with your team, or export for a stakeholder review.